Analyzing Potential Outcomes of a US Military Strike on Iran
Summary
The United States is poised to strike Iran with potential outcomes ranging from regime collapse to military retaliation, creating uncertain regional and global consequences.
Key Points
- The US may carry out targeted strikes on Iran's military and nuclear sites aiming for regime change.
- There is a possibility of regime survival with softened policies, but it is considered low due to the Islamic Republic’s resistance to change.
- A likely outcome is the collapse of the regime and the rise of military rule led by the IRGC.
- Iran could retaliate with missile and drone attacks on US forces and allied Arab nations, and possibly mine the Strait of Hormuz affecting global oil supply.
