Opinion | Is more credit really the answer?

Summary

Nepal's central bank has lowered interest rates to stimulate lending, but private credit growth remains weak, revealing deeper economic structural issues rather than just a cyclical slowdown.

Key Points
  • Nepal Rastra Bank has reduced interest rates to encourage bank lending, but credit uptake remains low.
  • Private sector credit growth is in single digits, significantly lower than the decade-long average of about 20 percent.
  • Nepal's economy is over-financialised, with lending heavily dependent on land and property speculation rather than productive investment.
  • The current credit slowdown signals a structural correction, urging a shift from debt-led to productivity-led economic growth rather than pushing for more loans.
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