Israel’s vote prolongs Middle East instability

Summary

Israel’s election has left Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition short of a majority, keeping government formation uncertain and raising the prospect of another vote. The result could prolong Middle East tensions and keep oil markets on edge amid fears of further escalation with Iran.

Key Points
  • Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition fell short of the 61 seats needed for a parliamentary majority, though he may still try to remain in power.
  • President Isaac Herzog could ask either Netanyahu or Gadi Eisenkot to try to form a government, but both would need difficult coalition deals.
  • The result may slow any shift in Israel’s approach to judicial reform, ultra-Orthodox subsidies and tensions with Iran.
  • Oil traders are watching the outcome closely, with Brent crude already elevated on fears of further Middle East escalation.
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