IMF Projects Nepal’s Economic Growth at 3.6% in 2026

Summary

The IMF has projected Nepal’s economy to grow 3.6% in 2026 and 3.7% in 2027, with inflation easing to 3.1% in 2026 before rising again in 2027. It warned that higher oil prices and energy disruptions tied to Middle East tensions could pressure Nepal and the global economy.

Key Points
  • The IMF’s World Economic Outlook projects Nepal’s economic growth at 3.6% in 2026 and 3.7% in 2027, after an estimated 4.4% expansion in 2025.
  • Consumer inflation in Nepal is forecast at 3.1% in 2026, down from 4.1% in 2025, before rising to 5.8% in 2027.
  • The Fund warned that rising oil prices and disruptions to energy supplies could hurt Nepal because of its reliance on imported fuel and goods.
  • Global growth is projected at 3.1% in 2026, with the IMF noting risks from geopolitical tensions, trade uncertainty and Middle East conflict.
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