Bhotekoshi floods prompt ADB to cut Nepal’s growth forecast to 4.1 percent

Summary

The Asian Development Bank has cut Nepal’s growth forecast to 4.1 percent for 2026-27 after the Bhotekoshi floods damaged infrastructure, disrupted trade and tourism, and raised inflation and fiscal pressures. The government says rebuilding flood-hit roads, hydropower and other assets could cost hundreds of billions of rupees.

Key Points
  • The ADB lowered Nepal’s growth forecast by 0.4 percentage point to 4.1 percent, citing the economic damage from the Bhotekoshi floods.
  • The floods are expected to push inflation up to 5.3 percent and widen the fiscal deficit as reconstruction spending rises.
  • Nepal’s tourism sector and hydropower infrastructure suffered major losses, with the government estimating Rs723.31 billion needed for rebuilding.
  • Despite the shock, the ADB says Nepal’s external position remains comfortable, supported by remittances and strong foreign exchange reserves.
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