Global temperatures to reach near-record highs in next five years, report finds
Summary
Global temperatures are forecast to reach near-record highs over the next five years, with the Arctic warming faster than other regions, according to a U.N. and UK Met Office report. The report predicts surpassing the 1.5°C threshold from pre-industrial levels temporarily and forecasts a strong El Nino effect.
Key Points
- Average global temperatures are expected to reach between 1.3°C and 1.9°C above pre-industrial levels in the next five years.
- The global mean surface temperature will likely exceed 1.5°C above 1850-1900 levels for at least one year between 2026 and 2030.
- The Arctic is projected to warm more than three times the global average, with significant sea-ice melt expected.
- A strong El Nino event is predicted to drive global temperatures to potential record highs during 2026-2027.
